May 2006 Southwest Climate Outlook
The May Southwest Climate Outlook is online.
This month’s outlook provides recent drought conditions and the latest seasonal forecasts. This month we have two feature articles that explore different aspects of Southwest drought. They are entitled “Southwest drought can pack a hefty punch” and “Putting the AZ drought plan into action.”
Special thanks to Doug Duncan, who submitted this month’s cover photo, which depicts low water levels in Sharp Spring in the San Rafael Valley
To download a printer-friendly PDF file (3 MB) of the March 2006 Outlook, visit:
As always, you can view the latest Southwest Climate Outlook in html format at:
Highlights from the May 2006 Outlook
Drought – Drought has intensified in the Southwest, with most of the region in severe or extreme status and some areas in exceptional drought.
Southwest drought conditions are expected to persist or intensify, but improvements are expected in western New Mexico and southeastern Arizona.
The exceptionally low snowpack in most of the basins in Arizona and New Mexico has led to a streamflow forecast of much below average for 2006.
Reservoirs in Arizona have declined since last year. New Mexico reservoirs are better than last year, but the large Colorado River reservoirs, Elephant Butte, and other important reservoirs remain below average.
Fire Danger – The long-term moisture deficits and the abundant fine dry fuels produced by last year’s wet winter point to an active and severe fire season.
Temperature – Since the start of the water year on October 1, temperatures over most of the Southwest have been above average.
Precipitation – The Southwest has been much drier than average since the start of the water year, with less than 50 percent of average precipitation in most areas.
Climate Forecasts – Experts predict increased chances of warmer-than-average temperatures and equal chances of precipitation through November 2006.
El Niño – ENSO-neutral conditions have returned and are expected to continue over the next three to six months.
The Bottom Line – Drought is like to persist or intensify over most of the Southwest. Hydrological drought continues to affect streamflow and some large reservoir levels, and agricultural drought conditions have persisted throughout the region.
Report Reveals Wireless Threats
Ongoing index to track and reveal trends that help enterprises and government organizations protect themselves from emerging wireless threats.
Save Our Courts Alert – Urge Senators to Oppose Unqualified Nominee Brett Kavanaugh
Senate Again Turns Attention to Controversial Judicial Nominees
Urge Senators to Oppose Confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit
May 24, 2006 — Less than one year after the bipartisan Gang of 14 brokered a compromise to avert a “nuclear” showdown, Republican senators led by Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-TN) have resumed the divisive debate over some of President Bush’s most controversial judicial nominees. The Senate could vote on one of these nominees, Brett Kavanaugh, as soon as today.
Call your senators today [(202) 224-3121] and urge them to oppose the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit.
A review of Kavanaugh’s record reveals the strident workings of a political operative, not the legal experience and qualifications necessary for a seat on the nation’s second highest court. Kavanaugh has less legal experience than nearly any previous nominee to the D.C. Circuit, with little direct exposure to litigation or a courtroom. The American Bar Association recently took the rare step of downgrading its rating of Kavanaugh, based on colleagues’ reports that the nominee is inexperienced, “sanctimonious,” and “insulated.” And The New York Times has taken a position against the confirmation of Kavanaugh, calling him “unqualified” for the federal bench.
In two hearings before the Senate Judiciary Committee, Kavanaugh repeatedly refused to answer senators’ questions about his qualifications for the federal bench or his experiences within the Bush White House. Among the unanswered questions are the role Kavanaugh may have played in developing some of the administration’s most controversial policies, including the warrantless wiretapping of American citizens, torture practices in Guantanamo Bay, and the vetting of right-wing judicial nominees. Kavanaugh’s nomination was voted out of the Committee earlier this month by a narrow, party-line vote.
Use the URL below to read the Leadership Conference on Civil Rights’ letter opposing the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh:
Call your senators today at (202) 224-3121 and tell them that Kavanaugh is unqualified. Urge them to oppose his nomination to the D.C. Circuit.
Click this link to forward this alert to others:
Then use this link to sign up to receive Nominations in the News, the free newsletter that will help keep you informed about this and other controversial judicial nominations:
 The U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit is widely regarded as one of the most influential courts in the country, second only to the Supreme Court. Unlike other appeals courts, the D.C. Circuit oversees the action of federal agencies on matters that affect millions of Americans.
© Leadership Conference on Civil Rights. Redistribution of this email publication with full attribution is encouraged.
The Philosophy Directing The Age Of Tyranny: The purpose of this document is to present the principles of Straussism as a rosetta stone to give one the knowledge to decipher and translate the rhetoric and behavior of the George Bush neocon administration into some degree of coherent meaning.
Mr. Olmert Goes to Congress
The Jerusalem Post is reporting today: “Amid a lengthy round of applause, including a standing ovation from U.S. lawmakers, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert addressed the U.S. Congress…”
Tolan wrote the recent Los Angeles Times oped piece “The incredible shrinking Palestine: Israel is whittling away at Palestinians’ land again, but it needs the U.S. to sharpen the knife.” Tolan is author of the new book “The Lemon Tree: An Arab, a Jew, and the Heart of the Middle East.”
For related maps of the West Bank, see:
From: Institute for Public Accuracy
Why Won’t the U.S. Acknowledge Israel’s Nuclear Weapons?
Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert meets with U.S. President Bush today and speaks to a joint meeting of both chambers of Congress on Wednesday. The U.S. government does not publicly acknowledge Israel’s nuclear weapons arsenal.
MORDECHAI VANUNU, firstname.lastname@example.org, http://www.vanunu.com
Vanunu is a former Israeli nuclear technician who in 1986 revealed through the Sunday Times of London the existence of Israel’s nuclear weapons. He said today: “The nuclear weapons in the Mideast are not in Iraq, they are not in Iran — they are in Israel. … The Middle East is now moving towards a nuclear weapons race; with Iran moving to do what Israel produced in the last 40 years. I did my best 20 years ago to prevent this situation of a future nuclear weapons war in the Middle East. The best solution for the Middle East would be if it were free from all nuclear weapons.”
After revealing Israel’s nuclear weapons arsenal, Vanunu was kidnapped from Rome and jailed by the Israeli government. For over 11 years, he was in solitary confinement. In April 2004, he was released from prison but continues to be under severe travel limits and other restrictions. Said Vanunu: “I hope the Israeli government will respect my human rights and let me leave. I want to go to the United States.” Vanunu, who is in Jerusalem, has been frequently nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize.
From: Institute for Public Accuracy
Another Big Tax Break for the Rich?
After passing a $70 billion tax giveaway that goes mostly to the wealthiest Americans, Congress is already at it again. While that $70 billion boondoggle will cost working families in cuts to student loans, child care, job training, services for the elderly and many health programs, Congress is set to give another big break to the richest of the rich.
Congress is debating repealing the estate tax, which affects just the richest one-quarter of one percent of the population. And while only the very wealthiest would benefit from a repeal of the estate tax, the cost to working families would be enormous: $1 trillion in the first 10 years, according to government figures.
Tell your senators to stop giving tax breaks to the wealthiest Americans and work for working families for a change.
Click Here to Take Action
Supporters repealing the estate tax—a few wealthy families financing a huge propaganda campaign—have tried to paint it as a “death tax” that eats up inheritances as low as $1,000. But only those whose estates are worth more than $2 million (or $4 million for couples) are affected under the current law, meaning only the very richest Americans—just 0.27 percent of families—pay the tax.
The Bush administration and its allies in Congress have made their priorities clear. More tax breaks for the wealthy and cuts to the programs working families rely on. Contact your senators today and tell them these priorities aren’t your priorities.
Thank you for all you do.
Working Families e-Activist Network, AFL-CIO
Framing of Immigration
Framing is at the center of the recent immigration debate. Simply framing it as about “immigration” has shaped its politics, defining what count as “problems” and constraining the debate to a narrow set of issues. The linguistic framing is remarkable and varied: frames for illegal immigrant, illegal alien, illegals, undocumented workers, undocumented immigrants, guest workers, temporary workers, amnesty, and border security. These linguistic expressions are anything but neutral. Each framing defines the problem in its own way, and hence leaves out relevant issues needed to consider the full range of solutions.
We present an analysis of the framing used in the public debate and how it impoverishes the discussion, and suggest alternative framing to highlight important concerns currently left out.
Borowitz Report – american idol shocker
BIN LADEN FURIOUS AT ‘AMERICAN IDOL’ FOR TROUNCING HIM IN RATINGS
Orders Global Jihad Against Popular Songfest
Just days after releasing a new terror tape, al Qaeda mastermind Osama bin Laden is furious that the ratings for his tape were dwarfed by those of the “American Idol” finale and has declared an all-out “global jihad” against the popular song contest.
Millions of viewers worldwide watched the “American Idol” finale Wednesday night, drawing the ire of Mr. bin Laden, who had hoped that his latest terror tape would be the highest-rated TV show of the week.
But while “Idol” fans around the globe watched Taylor Hicks defeat Katharine McPhee for the top songfest honors, Mr. bin Laden was angrily seething in his cave, plotting revenge, sources close to the madman say.
“When Taylor started singing his number, Osama took off a sandal and threw it at the TV screen,” one close associate of the terror chief said. “He was like, ‘I can’t believe people are watching this crap instead of my tapes.’”
In yet another terror tape broadcast today on the Arabic-language network al-Jazeera, Mr. bin Laden vowed revenge against his latest nemeses, thundering, “I will not rest until I have put an end to these American idols and their American idolaters.”
While Mr. bin Laden’s associates publicly support his latest jihid, one aide who spoke on condition of anonymity said that the terror chief’s sagging ratings may be partially his own fault: “We suggested he introduce a singing segment on his terror tapes, but he balked.”
Elsewhere, NASA said that Voyager II has determined where the solar system ends but has yet to determine why anyone needed to know this.
three to see
This Modern World: Good grief!
Mike Keefe: Effective Fences
Dan Wasserman: can we design a car that…